Five Open Source Predictions The VAR Guy Got Wrong In 2008

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The VAR Guy often crows about his successful predictions. But some of his blog posts missed the mark badly in 2008. He needs to eat some crow for these five open source statements that were off target in 2008.

1. Too Bullish On the Sun-MySQL Deal: When Sun Microsystems acquired MySQL in January 2008, The VAR Guy thought it was a fantastic move by Sun. (In fact, our resident blogger still thinks highly of the acquisition.) But at $1 billion, Sun likely paid too much for MySQL just before the economy truly imploded. And the MySQL channel partner program hasn’t exactly been generating a lot of buzz.

2. Too Negative On Novell: The VAR Guy also predicted deals like Sun-MySQL would kill Novell. His thesis: Novell’s SUSE Linux team would feel the squeeze as open source applications companies merged with one another or moved closer to Red Hat’s universe. In reality, Novell’s SUSE Linux sales grew as fast as — or faster than — the overall Linux market in 2008.

3. Too Bullish On Canonical Ubuntu Server Edition:

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